Premier League: Leicester City’s Downward Spiral Explained

BIRMINGHAM, ENGLAND - JANUARY 28: Ben Chilwell of Leicester City encourages the crowd during the Carabao Cup Semi Final match between Aston Villa and Leicester City at Villa Park on January 28, 2020 in Birmingham, England. (Photo by Shaun Botterill/Getty Images)
BIRMINGHAM, ENGLAND - JANUARY 28: Ben Chilwell of Leicester City encourages the crowd during the Carabao Cup Semi Final match between Aston Villa and Leicester City at Villa Park on January 28, 2020 in Birmingham, England. (Photo by Shaun Botterill/Getty Images) /
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In other words, the Foxes are who we thought they were.

This is the same Leicester team. Given the number of matches prior to December 9th and after, some of their performance can be attributed to luck or randomness. However, their numbers are so significantly different during their current run of form that it also has to be attributed to a player and team performance.

In the last two and a half months, Leicester has earned 12 points (3 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses). This places them 13th in the Premier League during this time span. Manchester City has notched 25 points during this period, ranking second. This change in results flipped their respective table positions.

Does this put European qualification in jeopardy?

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Short answer: Yes!

Will they lose their qualification slot? Probably not.

Even if Leicester continues their current poor form, it is likely that they could drop in the table. However, Chelsea, Manchester City, Wolves, and Tottenham have all been so inconsistent themselves that their chances of getting past the Foxes are significantly compromised.

They also have Norwich, Aston Villa, Watford, and Brighton in their next four matches, which are all winnable matches.

The Foxes hold the points advantage as well. They have a six-point lead over Chelsea and a ten-point lead over both Tottenham and Sheffield. Given that everyone seems to be racing towards the bottom, this may be too big a hill to climb.

Then there’s the giant sky blue elephant in the room, which is Manchester City’s Champions League ban (maybe). If they lose their appeals then it is possible their slot is given up which adds another suitor to the mix.

Next. Fernandes produces 1st breakout for Man United. dark

In the end, Leicester City is safe. They are going to qualify for Europe next season, but they are just as good (or bad) as pretty all the other contenders.